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[TH] Nvidia: The Future of Graphics Processing

post #1 of 65
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Nvidia's Tony Tamasi took ECGC 2011 attendees on a trip to the past, to the present, and to the future of both GPU rendering and mobile graphics.

During ECGC 2011, Nvidia senior vice president of content and technology Tony Tamasi made a startling prediction during his keynote presentation called "The Future of Graphics Processing." He claimed that GPU performance will increase 1000-percent by 2015, allowing graphics cards to generate real-time ray tracing and procedurally generated smoke at 30 to 60 frames per second.

To put this into perspective, Nvidia's latest GPU can churn out the same photo-realistic graphics at 2 frames per second.
Source.


A few days ago I was thinking when would it be feasible to have photo-realistic games. We're close. Assuming the core count doubles every year, we should be getting around 60fps by 2015. But since we've had a few hiccups in the recent years, I have my doubts. Anyway, even so, with SLI / Crossfire, it should be within reach in that time frame.
 
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post #2 of 65
But can they run Crysis?
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post #3 of 65
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Heret|c View Post
But can they run Crysis?
I think the new meme will be: but can it run circles around Crysis ?
 
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post #4 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by tpi2007 View Post
I think the new meme will be: but can it run circles around Crysis ?
or: can it play crysis + crysis warhead each with 60fps
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post #5 of 65
or at 2560x4800

But i think photorealism is further out than that....we'd have to have a perfect model for EVERYTHING. Humans would be next to impossible to make photorealistic unless based off of video captured imagery

The required budget for these games would approach the 1 billion dollar mark
Edited by SyncMaster753 - 5/6/11 at 6:12pm
    
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post #6 of 65
crapsys sucks, i hope how ever they do get to this kind of processing power soon. now we only need cpu's that we dont have to oc to keep up with them.
post #7 of 65
This + Ivy Bridge wants me to do some switching.
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post #8 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by SyncMaster753 View Post
or at 2560x4800

But i think photorealism is further out than that....we'd have to have a perfect model for EVERYTHING. Humans would be next to impossible to make photorealistic unless based off of video captured imagery

The required budget for these games would approach the 1 billion dollar mark
...not sure if serious...

All it would take is the same capture devices they use for movies like beowulf or any cgi scenes in any movie. Then have that converted into a 3D model then do the same thing they do now... it will cost no where near 1 billion.
     
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post #9 of 65
This sounds like those people who said we'd be living on the moon in colonies by the year 2000. It's an ambitious prediction that will never happen. It takes 18 months for graphics power to double.
post #10 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by CorkyFan View Post
This sounds like those people who said we'd be living on the moon in colonies by the year 2000. It's an ambitious prediction that will never happen. It takes 18 months for graphics power to double.
Not really when you consider 1000x doesn't correlate to 1000x more fps. Also you have to remember that they probably have much more power that they haven't release yet.

They could make a monstrous video card that can virtually handle anything but it would cost to much and would be to large to fit within standards

As cost and size of semiconductors and chips decrease it allows for more power in virtually the same area...
     
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