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post #31 of 65
Power doubles every 18 months

Log 2 1024 = 10

10x18 = 180 months = 15 years

2025 gentlemen, 2025..
post #32 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by srsdude View Post
Power doubles every 18 months

Log 2 1024 = 10

10x18 = 180 months = 15 years

2025 gentlemen, 2025..
Your math is wrong...

Assuming that power doubles every 18 months then it would take 18 months to hit 200%.

For the time that it takes gpus to be 1000% of their currentpower we would use:

log base 2 (10) * 1.5 = 4.9 years.


What you have calculated is how long it would take for gpu power to double 10 times, or in other words, how long it would take before we have gpus that are 102,400% of their current power.
 
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post #33 of 65
2 + 2 = 4
i know that much
post #34 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by CallsignVega View Post
I highly doubt that there will be a graphics card ten times faster than a GTX580 in only four years.
10 times faster at things like realtime raytracing.
post #35 of 65

Power more realistically is doubling every 13 months.



Dear god, please give me a game that looks like this:

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post #36 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by tpi2007 View Post
Source.


A few days ago I was thinking when would it be feasible to have photo-realistic games. We're close. Assuming the core count doubles every year, we should be getting around 60fps by 2015. But since we've had a few hiccups in the recent years, I have my doubts. Anyway, even so, with SLI / Crossfire, it should be within reach in that time frame.
This is a cool story. But I actually wanted to comment that your signature with Guybrush is freaking awesome.
    
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post #37 of 65
Thing that I'm worried about is the new consoles (XBox 720 and PS4... whatever they'll be called) will be coming out relatively soon.

I really hope they're 64-bit based, so upcoming PC games in the years to come will be ported as 64-bit and allow for some better ports etc...
    
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post #38 of 65
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by keesh View Post
This is a cool story. But I actually wanted to comment that your signature with Guybrush is freaking awesome.
Thanks and.. thanks!

Still have the game in it's original box, original floppies, copy protection voodoo ingredient mixer and original purchase receipt. It's one of my treasures. One of the best games ever!
 
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post #39 of 65
I think generally people underestimate the importance of software techniques.
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post #40 of 65
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by fl0w3n View Post
Power more realistically is doubling every 13 months.



Dear god, please give me a game that looks like this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XgS67BwPfFY

I think there is a subtle message in this video, don't you think ?

The bad guys are dressed like Combine soldiers and when one of them is being hit and loses his mask, he looks like Prophet from Crysis.

Is this a way for them to say the Unreal Engine is next in taking over the lead in graphics excellence from Half Life 2 (2004) and Crysis (2007) ?
Edited by tpi2007 - 5/7/11 at 11:18am
 
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