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[TH] Nvidia: The Future of Graphics Processing - Page 5

post #41 of 65
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Quote:
Originally Posted by G woodlogger View Post
I think generally people underestimate the importance of software techniques.

I think you're right if you're talking about using the current techniques, we will probably be very near photo-realism in 2013 already using the same kind of tricks the devs use to make a game look good enough in a 2005/6 console. But when it comes to ray-tracing, how much can you do with/without the processing power ?
 
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post #42 of 65
I think, I was remembering something I read about Intel research a year or to ago. As usually we should look it up on Google and Wiki, but I do not have the time now unfortunately.
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post #43 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by srsdude View Post
Power doubles every 18 months

Log 2 1024 = 10

10x18 = 180 months = 15 years

2025 gentlemen, 2025..
Ye your maths is very wrong, just apply simple maths to it, if power doubles every 18 months then :

0 : 1024
18: 2048
36: 4084
54: 8168

You tried to over complicate it for no reason.

OT: I will die a happy man if they make a sandbox game that is photo realistic
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post #44 of 65
Why wait till 2015? We have the technology now. Just have to look away from the monitor in 3.. 2.. 1.
post #45 of 65
But can it play minecraft?
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post #46 of 65
It will be interesting to see how close we are at in 2015. Something to keep in mind is that it isn't just an increase in cores, but how fast each core can process information. (frequency, efficiency of the architecture)
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post #47 of 65
I don't believe it.
     
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post #48 of 65
Is anybody else here counting on graphene transistors?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graphene

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graphen...ne_transistors


Also, after we get more raw power, we need much higher resolution displays for photorealism. I'm wondering what 4800p in a 23" display would look like .
post #49 of 65
You can already make photo realistic 3D. It just takes a huge amount of power in today's standards to make a walking human model in 3D walk for 30 seconds, let alone in real-time.

But with enough power, its possible. By 2015, there should be a few new technologies to make this more possible.
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post #50 of 65
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by hollowtek View Post
Why wait till 2015? We have the technology now. Just have to look away from the monitor in 3.. 2.. 1.


Couldn't resist

Quote:
Originally Posted by HybridCore View Post
But can it play minecraft?
With that kind of processing power, it will probably be able to play Minecraft by itself an even design a virtual, fully functioning, CPU, just like this guy did:


Quote:
Originally Posted by AtomicFrost View Post
It will be interesting to see how close we are at in 2015. Something to keep in mind is that it isn't just an increase in cores, but how fast each core can process information. (frequency, efficiency of the architecture)
Yes, and the frequency and efficiency generally tend to also increase over time. I bet that starting with the next 28nm node we will finally enter the stock 1Ghz speed, which up until now has only been attained by home or vendor overclocking.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aden Florian View Post
Is anybody else here counting on graphene transistors?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graphene

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graphen...ne_transistors


Also, after we get more raw power, we need much higher resolution displays for photorealism. I'm wondering what 4800p in a 23" display would look like .

Quote:
In February 2010, researchers at IBM reported that they have been able to create graphene transistors with an on and off rate of 100 gigahertz, far exceeding the rates of previous attempts, and exceeding the speed of silicon transistors with an equal gate length. The 240 nm graphene transistors made at IBM were made using extant silicon-manufacturing equipment, meaning that for the first time graphene transistors are a conceivable—though still fanciful—replacement for silicon.

Hmmm, I don't remember reading this part about them being so far in the development. Maybe we can have some of that by 2015 already!

As to higher resolutions, I will fully accept it at Full HD. That is a starting point Anyway, by 2015, TV sets and monitors will probably be sold with a 2560x1600 standard resolution, and perhaps even more for the high end.
Edited by tpi2007 - 5/7/11 at 1:32pm
 
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