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How many years for SSDs to become mainstream?

post #1 of 21
Thread Starter 
Do you have an idea when SSDs will become mainstream and replace HDDs completely?
post #2 of 21
Here on OCN, they are already somewhat mainstream. As far as the rest of the world, it won't happen until the dollar to gb ratio imroves. I'd guess in a couple years it will all be ssd though.
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post #3 of 21
Hard to guess, but it'll happen when you can get a similar amount of storage with a performance increase for the same price so probably not in the next few years.
Until then, there'll still be a market for hard drives in low-speed applications like HTPCs where stored Videos don't need to be accessed very quickly.

Edit: Misread the question slightly, couple of years probably.
I thought you meant when will they be replacing HDDs which won't be for a while yet.
Edited by Mike-IRL - 8/11/11 at 10:05am
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post #4 of 21
I think they're pretty much almost there.
     
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post #5 of 21
I would say SSDs will become commonplace in mid- to high-range laptops within a couple years. It's hard to tell with desktops, since the platform itself is losing ground compared to portable devices, and users still need storage space. Features like SSD caching could speed up the transition, as well, if it becomes more widely adopted. Also, tablets and such will stick with some sort of solid-state storage, if you want to count that. For pure storage, HDDs will be ideal for quite a while, I'd say. However, said storage may become "cloud"-based, and the end user may not even own a platter drive anymore.
Edited by t-ramp - 8/11/11 at 8:47am
post #6 of 21
when it comes to storage i guess SSD-s will never totally replace HDD-s but I hope I don´t have to eat my words by the end of this decade.
post #7 of 21
My for the mainstream HDD are here to stay. In the next few years we'll see bigger SSD caches used on HDDs and better caching algorithms that will make a pure-SSD not that much faster. In this article @anandtech the author posts how much it costs now to build a 120GB drive. Here's an example:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Anandtech
A 120GB SF-2281 SSD uses 128GB of 25nm MLC NAND. The NAND market is volatile but a 64Gb 25nm NAND die will set you back somewhere from $10 - $20. If we assume the best case scenario that's $160 for the NAND alone. Add another $25 for the controller and you're up to $185 without the cost of the other components, the PCB, the chassis, packaging and vendor overhead. Let's figure another 15% for everything else needed for the drive bringing us up to $222. You can buy a 120GB SF-2281 drive in e-tail for $250, putting the gross profit on a single SF-2281 drive at $28 or 11%.
As such, to reach the cost/GB of a current HDD the flash memory costs should be divided by about 10.
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post #8 of 21
the reason they havent caught on in the mainstream is that for ~100 dollars you can get a 60Gb SSD or for that same 100 dollars you can get a 1TB Harddrive or get 2 run them in raid and have comparable performance to a SSD.
post #9 of 21
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevlo View Post
get 2 run them in raid and have comparable performance to a SSD.
Except that it's not...
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post #10 of 21
Quote:
Originally Posted by sintricate View Post
Except that it's not...
This. Transfer rates aren't eveything.
     
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