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[CNN] You won't need a drivers license by 2040 - Page 12  

post #111 of 299
Quote:
Originally Posted by jprovido View Post

this = no more deaths in vehicular accidents.
yeah, because computers and machines never malfunction rolleyes.gif
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post #112 of 299
Of course, none of this would happen soon - too many people have their entire identity wrapped up in what they drive. But, I'm betting that eventually, insisting on driving your own car will be as much an impractical anachronism as preferring to travel by Conestoga would be today.

An automated transportation system, as ominous as that sounds, would save millions of lives AND save consumers billions in fuel costs, insurance costs, traffic tickets, lawyer fees, medical bills, the tax burden of roadway repair necessitated by accidents, the tax burden of operating traffic control devices... it would have a profoundly positive effect on millions of people from all walks of life. The benefits are far too great to dismiss the entire idea simply because "you like to drive."
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post #113 of 299
Quote:
Originally Posted by AgentHydra View Post

I think it would be possible to strike a balance between both models, people who don't like driving can get things like Google's Prius's which will be able to get them from point A to B without any intervention, while people who prefer to drive and people who can't afford an automated car can still drive normally. While it wouldn't have all the benefits of a fully automated system the number of accidents would likely decrease due to automated cars being able to avoid accidents, less humans driving, less DUIs, etc.

Those people probably will be required to take local roads and stay off information superhighway!

Most humans cannot drive 100MPH at 10ft seperation. wink.gif

Quote:
Originally Posted by clark_b View Post

yeah, because computers and machines never malfunction rolleyes.gif
True, but out of the annual accidents.... how many are due to human error/limitations vs mechanical failure?

Of course, there are also environmental and other types of accidents.... (i.e. train derailing and hitting your car).
Edited by DuckieHo - 9/18/12 at 2:19pm
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post #114 of 299
I'd be cool with this as long as you could still optionally obtain/keep your driver's license for non-autonomous cars. But then that kind of defeats the purpose because all the problems this would fix would still be present by the people choosing to drive themselves.
post #115 of 299
Auto driving cars by 2040? I'm still waiting for my personal hover car were were all supposed to have by the 1960s.

post #116 of 299
Quote:
Originally Posted by chrisguitar View Post

People say robots are safer than humans, what happens in a malfunction on the highway with a car and non of the rest can stop?

Same thing that happens now when a human malfunctions? Except that response times will be faster and nobody compounds the problem by driving like a panicking fleshbag.

Hell, by 2040, a computer would probably be able to do a realistic physics simulation of the car that has gone out of control and the trajectory of the debris before a human would even notice that an accident is happening. I'm imagining the car in question being surrounded by sensors that are examining road noise that we block out, thermal imaging we can't see, as well as the usual visual stimuli that we process.

By the time the human would have noticed the accident happening, the computer might have made several projected courses of action based and selected one based on years of heuristic analysis and full knowledge of the limitation of all the systems and subsystems of the machine it's driving.

It might even have time to pull something out of a joke database while it is maneuvering to avoid the accident, just to lighten the mood, all the while notifying the authorities of an accident that hasn't finished happening. All traffic gets rerouted around the area of the accident so there's nothing but empty road for emergency crews to deal with within a minute of the accident, and nobody gets stuck in a traffic jam.
    
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post #117 of 299
Quote:
Originally Posted by 47 Knucklehead View Post

Auto driving cars by 2040? I'm still waiting for my personal hover car were were all supposed to have by the 1960s.

I've never understood how that is/was supposed to be practical.
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post #118 of 299
Unless the cars are not in any way networked together or to an external server, then the potential for disaster from a computer virus is way too high (in my opinion) for automated cars.
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post #119 of 299
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ectrian View Post

Unless the cars are not in any way networked together or to an external server, then the potential for disaster from a computer virus is way too high (in my opinion) for automated cars.

There will be different implementations and OSes (security through diversity)... but eventually a standardize protocol.


However, there is always a risk of computer viruses but we stil use computers for missiles, airplanes, medical equipment, nuclear plants, banking, etc.
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post #120 of 299
I really want this...the only problem that I haven't seen mentioned is...I live in Wisconsin, we have actual winter here where we can get 12"+ of snow overnight and don't forget to account for ice and such. I just don't see how a car can account for this, a hybrid would have to be mandatory. Also keep in mind deer and pedestrians.
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