Originally Posted by The-Beast
Specs dictate the lifespan of the product. When it uses old tech to make a shrink profitable, when that shrink is already available. You shorten the time in which the product is relevant. When the die size drops to 70-80mm2 on 28nm then the ps4/xbox come out with an apu and a discrete chip on 32nm/28nm you aren't just a generation behind but multiple.
Yes and no.
-Next gen ps4 / xbox will not
have the equivalent to todays cutting edge, and even if they do release a apu + lets be nice here and give it a 7850 or so, by the time 2014 hits, thats old tech as well from a raw power sense. The 7850 is already considered mid range as is, and it's not even 2013 yet
The thing is, what I see Nintendo doing is getting the jump, taking customers from the others early much like the 360 did (which is the only reason the 360 was able to pull away from ps3) and then jumping the gun next round again. Nintendo's got big money in the bank and at the end of the day is usually the most profitable by a large margin. I don't think a lot of the general public understands that when there is always so much doom and gloom about their hardware.
If Nintendo goes back to and maintains a more traditional 5 year span of their systems like we saw with the Gamecube (late 2001) > Wii (late 2006) they will continue to dominate sales from here on out. And worst case scenario, they give it a 6 year life span like the Wii got. Still not too bad.
Meanwhile Xbox, a system that came out in 2005 is at minimum seeing a 8 year life span (and if 2014 is true, make it a 9 year span). That is ridiculous and is a big reason why my 360 collects dust for the most part. And the biggest reason I upgraded my pc. to make me feel a bit more up to date with the times
On the other hand, Sony and MS may go balls out much like a nuclear arms rate, but I'm telling you, if that is the case one of the two will not be able to afford the game and drop out, and I can almost guarantee you that would be Sony unless they've got some trick up their sleeve.
My whole point being is I don't expect these systems to be amazing from a spec list perspective.
However, one thing I must remind myself and others as well... if they can pull off halo 4 and some of later gen ps3 titles on the 360 / ps3 hardware, then even a gpu such as a 7770 in one of these systems would be an amazing improvement. They will squeeze every ounce of power out of it and we will still see our pc's tested slightly once again.
Games already look 'good enough' for my eyes, all I want is some Anti aliasing for consoles and I'd be fine with their level. Oh, that and that and some actual innovative and fresh games