Originally Posted by Zen00
I was agreeing with you, mistyped though. :/
You should probably have contexted that if you read my whole post.
I understand that but, I'm disagreeing with your point in general.
What you're essentially saying is that we're repeating the same mistakes over and over, thus, repeating the past but, that's not true.
I just finished working with a client that runs a publishing business. Did the full 9, enterprise racks, rebuilt his entire business model, had it analyzed and redid his ENTIRE website from the ground floor.
His projected sales are 1/4 of what they actually were...I had 4 MAJOR analysts look at it; they weren't cheap. (Knock on wood this continues)
Analysts got shot in the foot last year because their estimates were seen as being overzealous and "dangerous" so, they took a step towards being twice as conservative. For a network analyst this is bad. This is really bad.
Look at SWTOR if you want the textbook example of an analysis gone wrong. WoW will coincide with this as well. As does BF3...They just underestimated sales and interest.
This is bad because, for my client, I understood the analysis was low so, I projected double, just to be SAFE. I was wrong. Know what it's like scrambling for racks? It's not pretty. It's a mad dash to find the first racks even available and then ultimately, most of us jerry-rig something just to get by.
Rockstar's analysis was low, very conservative and they should have recognized that but, even so, they planned for an oversell of 20%...That's good planning.
Fortunately, for them, their game oversold and blew away every single record ever set to date. Unfortunately, for them, that means their entire network team is now freaking out just to meet demand.
Ultimately, they planned for what they could and are working hard to fix it...It is what it is.