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[Engadget] The internet risks hitting peak capacity soon

post #1 of 50
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Quote:
The internet has more than one capacity problem to worry about, apparently. Researchers met in London this week to tackle growing concerns that fiber optic cables, which represent the internet's backbone, are hitting their physical limits. An Alcatel-Lucent representative warned that we could hit this barrier, about 100 terabits per second, in five years -- not good news when 8K video and other data-hungry technologies are just over the horizon. The only conventional solution would be to add more cables, which isn't always practical.

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post #2 of 50
FUD. The replacement has already been built and is just waiting to be lit.
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post #3 of 50
You can run 100 Tbps over a thousand pairs of SM fiber for tens of kilometers at a time. I do not believe this is an unmanageable number of fibers. Secondly, there is no "backbone" but instead a vast mesh. Traffic flows by many routes between two general points.
post #4 of 50
Fear train must've just left station
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post #5 of 50
Quote:
Originally Posted by Particle View Post

You can run 100 Tbps over a thousand pairs of SM fiber for tens of kilometers at a time. I do not believe this is an unmanageable number of fibers. Secondly, there is no "backbone" but instead a vast mesh. Traffic flows by many routes between two general points.

There is, actually. This is Comcast's map but everyone else's is pretty much the same, because they're all using the same pipes.



That replacement I mentioned is laid out in the same place too. The U.S. government's private network (some people like to sensationalize it by calling it the darknet or other such crap) is about 10 times the capacity of the public fiber networks, and the government has almost maxed out the capacity of that network. They've already built another network 10 times the size of that one and will be switching over in a few years, at which time we can expect to start hearing tidbits about the "darknet" being auctioned off/opened up for public use.
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post #6 of 50
Quote:
Originally Posted by Particle View Post

You can run 100 Tbps over a thousand pairs of SM fiber for tens of kilometers at a time. I do not believe this is an unmanageable number of fibers. Secondly, there is no "backbone" but instead a vast mesh. Traffic flows by many routes between two general points.

Yet there are quite a few locations around the world that are called "internet backbones". So being a mesh network or not, internet backbone is an actual term and is in use.
https://www.google.com/search?q=internet+backbone
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post #7 of 50
Quote:
Originally Posted by EniGma1987 View Post

Yet there are quite a few locations around the world that are called "internet backbones". So being a mesh network or not, internet backbone is an actual term and is in use.
https://www.google.com/search?q=internet+backbone

Yep. If you habitually run traceroutes to random sites whenever you travel the world (I have weird hobbies, ok?) You'll notice a lot of common waypoints. I remember frankfurt popping up pretty much every time I send web traffic to Europe for example. This partly has to do with undersea fiber lines which there are unfortunately few of.
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post #8 of 50
Quote:
Originally Posted by alcal View Post

Yep. If you habitually run traceroutes to random sites whenever you travel the world (I have weird hobbies, ok?) You'll notice a lot of common waypoints. I remember frankfurt popping up pretty much every time I send web traffic to Europe for example. This partly has to do with undersea fiber lines which there are unfortunately few of.

Fun to think that one curious shark has the potential to cripple the internet, isn't it? biggrin.gif
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post #9 of 50
I'm starting to think about 60-70% of internet data I use is ads. Almost every web page you look at these days has some video ad which runs and uses a lot of data, it's turning into the world wide ad network.
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post #10 of 50
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ding Chavez View Post

I'm starting to think about 60-70% of internet data I use is ads. Almost every web page you look at these days has some video ad which runs and uses a lot of data, it's turning into the world wide ad network.

How do you think many of the applications/services on the Internet are paid for? wink.gif
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