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Bill Gates sees processor clock speeds to top out at 10 GHz

post #1 of 61
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Quote:

According to Gates, there are currently six trends, which will be determining Microsoft and its product strategy for the years to come. In a rather unusual way, he mentioned the dramatic changes in the way the hardware engines that will be fueling new applications are engineered.

The fact that performance advances have shifted from a pure increase of clock speed to increased parallelism was described by Gates as a "challenge". He believes that "parallel execution will be the primary way silicon power will be delivered" down the road and not so much the fact that there is more clock speed available. According to Gates, microprocessors will get to 10 GHz, "but not much further" (...) "even 5 to 6 years out."
http://www.xbox-scene.com/xbox1data/...uVVZoIlcNF.php
    
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post #2 of 61
So basically gates is saying "Multi (parallel) processing ftw, clock speeds won't prevail. They'll just triple first?" Hes almost contradicting himself.
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post #3 of 61
read it again. he's actually not

he's saying clock speeds WILL increase for a time, but not much longer
post #4 of 61
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Gates
I laid out memory so the bottom 640K was general purpose RAM and the upper 384 I reserved for video and ROM, and things like that. That is why they talk about the 640K limit. It is actually a limit, not of the software, in any way, shape, or form, it is the limit of the microprocessor. That thing generates addresses, 20-bits addresses, that only can address a megabyte of memory. And, therefore, all the applications are tied to that limit. It was ten times what we had before. But to my surprise, we ran out of that address base for applications within—oh five or six years people were complaining.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Gates
We will never make a 32-bit operating system, but I'll always love IBM.
its really interesting how the world chanches
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post #5 of 61
Quote:
Originally Posted by bill gates View Post
A home PC will never need more then 40GB hard driive
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post #6 of 61
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shadowrunner340 View Post
read it again. he's actually not

he's saying clock speeds WILL increase for a time, but not much longer
Thats what i said. He just kind of said it out of order.

Easy to see how they could top out though. As manufacturing processes decrease, clock speed increases. And of course you can't get all that much smaller than 2 nm.

I just wish you'd key us in on all 6 trends bill gates, you mysterious man of money you.
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post #7 of 61
If I was him, I'd be breaking 3dmark06 records. Seriously.
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post #8 of 61
Shut up Bill Gates, just shut up.
post #9 of 61
Quote:
Originally Posted by highwhey View Post
If I was him, I'd be breaking 3dmark06 records. Seriously.
Are you in the wrong thread or do you genuinely enjoy confusing the piss out of me?
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post #10 of 61
But then he also said computers won't need more than 640k of memory
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