Originally Posted by gwpjr
It's possible. Intel predicted that the end would come somewhere between 2013 and 2018 as chip proceses got down to the 16nm mark, but others says it may be at least another 600 years. New discoveries like the junctionless transistor have proved promising.
Yeah, it's a matter of shrinkage and lane leak. The i-7 bloomfield uses a 32nm process. Striker said that a firm near him has actually made a 22nm chip but making one on the scale of a 6 core with HT chip gets harder and harder to do. Moores law says that every 2 years the number of transistors on the same die size will double, it's been over one since the 4 core i-7 came out and now they have the six core 32nm i-7, not exactly double, but getting close, the big thing here is they made a bigger faster processor with more onboard memory without increasing the die size.
So, in 5 years, that will get you to 16nm, this is the point where, if you increase voltage to run the chip faster you will
get lane leak. I'll explain that if you want. Another 600 years? Hardly, they are already working on 2 seperate processes to shrink die size below 16nm.
First came Carbon Nanotubes, instead of the transistors being an on/off switch etched into silicon CN's can arrange themselves in patterns so you not only get on/off, you also get maybe, if, and, the basics of Boolean search paramaters. More importantly the CN system is easier to produce because the CN's arrange themselves in a polar pattern that you change with a magnetic field. This works out so that you no longer have to run a charge around the race track turning switches on and off, you have a micro electronic field that tells the CN's which way to go, resulting in massive savings in electricity and minimal heat loss.
The problem with this tech: You have to find a room temperature super conductors to control the magnetic fields.
Second method. Basically it's wetware, you use living materials that also respond to electronic fields created either by magnetic induction or photon manipulation. The never need feeding or replacing because they are preserved in a liquid state in the patterns not unlike the way LCD panels are made today, using either TN (Twisted Nematic) or IPS (In Plain Switching) controls. Organic LED's already exist so this tech is more likely to work than CN's.
The problem with this tech: You have to find a way to keep the living material alive when they aren't being used. The answer so far, use the same basis as the "Sleep" and "Hibernate" settings in current computers, give the cells a minor trickle charge to keep them alive when the system is turned off. We're talking micro-volts.
Storage also is rapidly approaching it's limits. The answer, Western Digital has done extensive testing on using lasers in man made crystal structures and other than size and power requirements it looks like this will be the next storage media.
However Mayan calendars which were accurate to the minute that predicted things years in advance have told researchers that Earth as we know it will cease to exist in 2012. Others, such as Nostradamus and Edgar Cayce have also made this prediction. The key here is that they've said Earth will Cease, they didn't say Mankind will Cease.
So, what are you going to do? Lay down and wait for 2012 to come just to see 2013 roll around. Not me. I live every day to the fullest.
Technology will continue to advance, it may have problems but Moores law has proven to be precise.
There is a whole lot of things going on that you guys don't know about. There are deep research teams everywhere, even in space, they aren't going to tell you the next breakthrough until it can be profitable to them.
One of the most shockingly predictive movies of it's time was Zardoz starring a young Seah Connery. In Zardoz the people had shiny silver spinning discs that made music and told stories. People just dismiseed it as B movie Science Fiction but look around you CD's, DVD's, Double Layer DVD's, Blu-Ray Discs and soon Double Layer Blu-ray discs where 1 layer is content and the other is changeable memory to record your settings, your story line changes, your favorite screen shots. That's being tested now, release within a year. Humans have advanced technology faster in the last 110 years than in the entire history of the planet before this.