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Intel CPU Prediction thru 2023 - Page 3

post #21 of 29
2023 - Gen E tick - 256 core - 64Mb L4 - 4nm - USB 4.0 - PCI 5.0 - SATA 48Gbs – DDR6
     
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post #22 of 29
I highly doubt processors will be depending on "moar cores" the better. Just like architecture and more cores beat out raw Ghz speeds. Would if the processor gets replaced by something else? Light? trapping light in a cube and then using light to compute?
post #23 of 29
Quote:
Originally Posted by brandontaz2k2 View Post
Coolstorybro.
stop being worthless
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post #24 of 29
The 11nm node is about as small as we can get on current silicon technology without running into issues of quantum tunneling.
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post #25 of 29
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by starpwnage View Post
4nm..
Anything below 12 is very unlikley i read somewere, that and after the 22nm cpu's, the rate of shirnkage will greatly slow.
According to this Intel presentation made in 2009 (slide 6), the target is 5nm for 2020. But nobody can tell now if this target will be reach in 2020.

http://computing.ornl.gov/workshops/..._pawlowski.pdf
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post #26 of 29
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by reflex99 View Post
if 32nm is as fragile as it is, i cannot imagine what 22 or lower will be like
The next gen after Sandy Bridge, Ivy Bridge, is already on track for jan 2012 in 22nm.
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C64 2.0
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post #27 of 29
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by reflex99 View Post
well, in 10 years, we went from 1 to 12.

so in annother 12, we could probably do that
Intel and AMD introduce their first dual core CPU in 2005. On the other end, 256 core for 2023 it's maybe over optimistic. We both know only in 12 years
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C64 2.0
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post #28 of 29
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by skatingrocker17 View Post
I'm not sure they'll even be using USB anymore but if they are I'm sure it will be like 2Tb/s.
USB begin in 1996 and was first integrated in Windows 95 with OSR2 even before Win98. Considering the number of legacy USB device worldwide, I don't see another standard take off USB for the next decade. FireWire is near-dead or, some upcoming standard like Intel LightPeak exist only in lab.
C64 2.0
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C64 2.0
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post #29 of 29
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Track View Post
Nah. It really isn't that slow.

According to Kurtzwell's "The Age of Spiritual Machines",
In 2019, an average home computer will have the processing power of the human brain, which he assumes to be 20 PFLOPS..
I read 'The singulary is near' from Kurtzwell but he's far too optimistic for me.

Considering the power of the human brain, my old C64 CPU (MOS 6510 @ 1Mhz) has more processing power then my former boss brain
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C64 2.0
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