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[NPR]Man vs. Machine: IBM supercomputer "Watson" vs Jeopardy! champions - Page 2

post #11 of 86
Quote:
Originally Posted by frickfrock99 View Post
The machine will win.

Here's an interview with a guy who went up against it and was savagely beaten down.
Oh man, that thing is a BEAST!



http://blogs.forbes.com/bruceupbin/2...uter-will-win/
Anyone that would say "Off-the-hook good" I would expect to get severely beaten by it

Also, like mentioned above, I think a huge part was the computers response time in "clicking" his buzzer to answer more than it knowing more answers or even knowing them faster.
post #12 of 86
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by lordikon View Post
I wonder if the computer has an input advantage on the "clicker"/"buzzer"? It seemed like Jennings often had an answer and clicked extremely fast but had no chance whenever "Watson" had more than 90% probability on an answer (which caused it to answer pretty much instantly).
Well isn't that part of the point of the computer? That is has faster reaction time than humans? Besides I think they have a make-shift buzzer that Watson still has to "press" it seems from the video in the OP.
The Trooper
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The Trooper
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post #13 of 86
Quote:
Originally Posted by nist7 View Post
Well isn't that part of the point of the computer? That is has faster reaction time than humans? Besides I think they have a make-shift buzzer that Watson still has to "press" it seems from the video in the OP.
If that is the case, then it would be less of an advantage, true. Hopefully they make it so that it presses the buzzer at the same average rate as most humans can. So that we can see a true intelligence battle, rather than how fast my servo can press this button compared to your finger/reaction speed.
post #14 of 86
Runs SUSE Gnu/Linux... sweet...
po-ta-toe
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po-ta-toe
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post #15 of 86
thats cool
    
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post #16 of 86
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Strat79 View Post
If that is the case, then it would be less of an advantage, true. Hopefully they make it so that it presses the buzzer at the same average rate as most humans can. So that we can see a true intelligence battle, rather than how fast my servo can press this button compared to your finger/reaction speed.
But what if Ken Jennings had an unusually fast reaction time? Do we somehow handicap him too to "average human reaction time?"

Each contestant has their own advantages and disadvantages. In cases where it seems both the computer and Jennings knew the answer, the computer had the advantage of faster reaction time.

But yes if we eliminated the time component to Jeopardy! it would be interesting. But I think Watson will basically win out since it has like a bazillion pieces of information it can search through.

Also Jeopardy! does not test intelligence as a whole. It seems to me it only tests factual recall, mostly. Overall, we humans are way way WAY more intelligent than "Watson." After all, we are the ones who created him.
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post #17 of 86
Well, ONE power 7 (let's say it's the most powerful one, a 795 in TurboCore mode, can have up to 32 processing chips, for a total of up to 128 cores, each running at up to 4.25 GHz (each core with up to 8 MB of l3 cache, and somewhere around 2 TB of ram, blah, blah, blah....)

and they have TEN of these!??!?!

we have like 3 of them at the datacenter where I work, and man just one of them outputs a tremendous amount of air & heat, and are STINKING LOUD.

but 10 of them.......... I don't even know what to say.....
Edited by 1n5aN1aC - 2/14/11 at 4:07pm
post #18 of 86
Will it fold?
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post #19 of 86
Lets see if Watson can score with the Jeopardy groupies...

Of course, this is unequal, since Watson can access millions of books that are stored, while the dudes read, what, maybe a thousand, max. It's like the Chess programs. Sure, if you make a hyper parallel computer with tons of resources and it can examine a hundred billions moves per second, it can beat a grand master. But lets see it win based on perhaps examining the twenty scenarios that a master has in mind, as well as getting the computer to think about all of the other stuff, like paying bills, deciding what to eat for dinner, chess groupies, and the fear of being fondled by airport security...
post #20 of 86
Quote:
Originally Posted by BLKKROW View Post
Will it fold?
I'd like to ask Watson that question..
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