Man I so much want to get that book of his, that had my mind reeling with forward thinking! He makes some good points, economically speaking too, for if the innovation comes to an end, as we should all expect, then people are going to start losing their jobs. (Lots of people)
People have to remember that the PC became the PC because people wanted to personalize & customize their computers. One reason I make a custom Desktop rather than buy a retail computer is, I want it to be powerful and something I pieced together, not some pre-built piece of junk.
I think the point he makes is, the Engineers & Techs on top will lose their jobs, the factories won't be shut down, but they would be severely slowed, as the need for new computers would be a lot less...
I don't think that computers will come to an end all together, as he is predicting, though I could see a lot smaller need for them, as the world become filled with Desktops & Laptops, as it already has been..
Now I think he has touched on something important, the Industry will soon die, because of the lack of newer innovation is simply not possible, based upon the process of transistors not being able to get smaller, therefor CPUs will not get better, and because of Fiber Optic & Light Communications, we will soon be at the apex of computing...
Once we hit the Apex, he predicts the house of cards will come tumbling down and Silicon Valley will disappear, which would be a very bad thing economically speaking.
I loved the article, +Rep for sharing this, I think I'm going to go get his book..