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[Salon] What happens when computers stop shrinking? - Page 6

post #51 of 73
Quote:
Originally Posted by somebodysb2 View Post
CPU's and GPU's will get so small, we can have over 9000 of them!
Although this is said as a joke, this is what i came to post.

Once the parts cannot get smaller we will just start putting more stuff into computers, making them bigger (but with many small things inside)
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post #52 of 73
In Soviet Russia Computer Shrinks you!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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post #53 of 73
Quantum Computers...maybe we'll have it in our brains or something...oh oh...like wear it like the nano suit 2 from crysis
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post #54 of 73
Quote:
Originally Posted by punker View Post
cloud computing. is a fail from the start


what if one does not have access to INTERNET
also with the DATA overages coming it will cost you per month.

plus i am sure people rather have the physical hardware to resell it if they want to
^ This.
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post #55 of 73
Computers made from flesh? I doubt it though.
post #56 of 73
Quote:
Originally Posted by _GTech View Post
I think you are looking in the correct direction, Microsoft already is moving their assets online, like all of them...

What that means is, if you want to use Software from Microsoft, you will have to access it online...

That's one sure way to kill piracy, let me tell ya...
It's one way to kill business - like once a person uses MS Live, the faster they get away from that hurt and demand real software on actual media, made by companies that know how to code.

Cloud Computing will only fit into certain niches. Like simple word processors for those with lightweight tasks that do not need to do those very often. Cloud Computing is not a panacea for most users. Now it can make inroads in Enterprise, because Enterprise environments can justify the massive expense of infrastructure needed for Cloud Computing. For a single home based user, Cloud Computing is just too expensive, because it is fairly easy to install actual software in one or two instances. But in Enterprise, an IT department may need to maintain thousands of computers, and the cost of even a single bug patch would be high, and hard to coordinate. Just in manpower needed, Cloud infrastruture pays for itself quickly. But for a home user, Cloud can be costly, especially in an age where people are still clunking along with slow DSL, and while ISPs are moving towards capping and throttling, which makes Cloud Computing a moot point except for perhaps the lightest and most spurious of tasks.

As for computer shrink - they can make the electronics smaller and more integrated, but the peripherals and plugs and stuff still need space. What I can see is that if we run into the end of Moore's Law, and can't make transistors smaller - then the industry ends up on squeezing more out of what it has, through better processor core layouts, and greater power efficiency. Power efficiency is not just less watts dissipated for less power use, but also the possibility of multi-layered IC, so called "cubic processors", where cores are layered on top of each other. So for a little extra "thickness", one could go from hexa-core to twelve-core in the same chip area. Or radical integration, where a layer would be all cores, with full memory on top of that. Or even more radical, where a core and a chuck of memory is on each layer as an independent processing unit, with more layers of the same on top. One could have whatever, like 16 layers of processing and memory - but only if power consumption can be radically reduced, to prevent overheating in the middle layers.

Lots of money is now being spent on smaller topologies - but once we attain "the smallest", then the requirements for processing power will predicate a move in this direction, because if you can't cram more onto the floor you have, then it is time to go skyscraper.
post #57 of 73
This come to mind...I'm ok with the current size.
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post #58 of 73
It seems to me that we will have a move from silicon to quantum chips... Also, I have read a store or two about using blood to store data and do computation on which is crazy because the storage capacity is very very small to how much it can store.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DNA_computing


They won't ever stop making computers faster till we hit lightspeed i/o and one hdd/sdd to hold all the worlds information on.
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post #59 of 73
Quote:
According to Moore's law, every Christmas your new computer games are almost twice as powerful (in terms of the number of transistors) as those from the previous year.
Lolwut? How to get computer games with more transistors?

This article is just a bunch of fear-mongering. The technology industry isn't going anywhere. Even if we don't have better hardware to upgrade to each year, companies will find new and different ways to use the hardware we have and we'll still buy it.
post #60 of 73
Quote:
Originally Posted by SgtSpike View Post
Lolwut? How to get computer games with more transistors?

This article is just a bunch of fear-mongering. The technology industry isn't going anywhere. Even if we don't have better hardware to upgrade to each year, companies will find new and different ways to use the hardware we have and we'll still buy it.
OK, so how many million computers can you make each year before the billions of people out there have bought them all up?

I don't think you understand what he means, he is saying we are coming to the Apex of Technology with computers, which in turn will put many people out of business..

He makes extremely valid points he backs up with good reasoning, Fiber Optic, once it's out there in full force, will be the end of the data transfer bottleneck... He is saying in essence, we are reaching the maximum possible tech we can achieve, he uses the process of printing transistors on the wafer as an example...

If you can't make something better, now what? Computers will either:

1) Lock into a set price..
2) Continue to get cheaper.. (Doubtful)
3) Stop being such a huge demand...
4) Continue to be a huge demand...

No matter what happens, it's not speculation to say many people will eventually lose their job, because in truth, it's costly to pay a team of engineers to develop tech...

Once the MFGs have all the tech they need, they will just start mass producing stuff, have a massive sale off, and then lay everyone off..

I've seen it many times, a company will mass produce something then shut the product line down permanently... Once we reach the apex, that's going to start happening...

Companies will be mass producing computers, because they won't get any better, those with the most, will announce the closing of their plant and sit back and collect dividends to rising prices / inflation... When the MFGs cut off the supply chain there will be this fictitious world wide panic, "Oh no, they aren't making any more computers"!

Nobody can really predict the future, truly, though we can take a good educated guess, and that I believe this writer has done well..
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