Originally Posted by seabiscuit68
For a person who is ripping on other people for not having the knowledge to have opinions, you sure make some bull claims...
There is ZERO chance that SSD drives will be mainstream in 2-3 years. What you fail to understand are there are very few plants that actually manufacture SSD memory. The cost to create one of these FAB's? 10 Billion dollars. For a market that is ridiculously small right now (compared to mechanical), there is no reason companies without FAB's will be building FAB's within the next 2-3 years. Maybe in the next 10 years.
The FAB's that do exist have no where near the capabilities to provide as many drives as are currently consumed on an annual basis.
So my EDUCATED evaluation from actually working at one of these major HDD manufacturers is to say you sir, are wrong
Yes, I know about fabs and the companies that actually produce SSD quality NAND. Samsung, IMFT, Hynix, Toshiba.... did I miss one? No more NAND companies can enter the market without massive startup costs (the licensing would kill most plans alone).
However, all these companies have invested billions in R&D and new fabs over the last few years. Samsung announced 20nm NAND last year. Intel just announced SSD quality 20nm NAND. Toshiba's new Fab will be completed in the next few months for 20nm NAND as well. Micron will have a new fab ready for production later this year.
I believe Intel markup on the new 320 SSDs is over 50%. That means Intel could cut the price in half and still break even. However, they choose not too since they are still investing to increase supply.
If anything, tablets and smartphones will be the things delay the pace to mainstream PC SSDs. Currently, those two markets eat up half the world NAND.... and growing.
Come to think of it..... do analysts consider the NAND in tablets to be part of the SSD mainstream rate?
Edited by DuckieHo - 4/18/11 at 2:34pm