Overclock.net - An Overclocking Community - View Single Post - [TechRadar] Intel admits it won’t catch up with AMD’s 7nm chips until 2021

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post #5 of (permalink) Old 07-18-2019, 06:41 PM
SystemTech
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Quote: Originally Posted by Kpjoslee View Post
Another supposed tech writer not knowing Intel's 7nm =/= TSMC's 7nm.
As correct as you are, unfortunately for Intel, they are not releasing 10nm mainstream this year.
Given the announcement of the 9900KS, due later this year, that further confirms the above.

On top of all that, when they do release 10nm, it will only be clocked around 4.0-4.5Ghz so the performance gains per core will not be dramatic.
let's say, being intel, they manage a 20% IPC increase, the 9900KS, is a 5Ghz chip, so lets say they manage 4.5Ghz on 10nm, that a 11% decrease, making the overall increase only around 9% absolute best-case scenario. We are more likely looking at about a 5% increase core for core at the end of the day.
This at soonest, is mid next year, around the same time as Ryzen 4.

Given that Ryzen 3 is on par core for core with the 9900K on average across all workloads, and AMD have a had 15% increase between generations, we can expect Ryzen 4 to be 15% faster than 3.
Intels 10nm first gen will only be 5% faster, giving AMD a 10% lead on average core for core.

So Intels nearest chance of being = to AMD core for core is probably 2021 or 2022 depending on how quickly the revise desktop 10nm gen 1

So although the article is incorect, in that he missed the fact that AMD 7nm ~ Intel 10nm, he is correct in stating that Intel will only catch up to AMD in 2021.(best case scenario for Intel)

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