Hello everyone. Before starting my article I would like to make clear the fact that there was a post about this topic already created. But also, they closed it so I didn't have the chance to give my opinion about it, so I would like to welcome my opinion writing a complete article about the rumor that is being rumored for quite a few months ago and from which nothing is officially known yet. So here we begin.
The first thing I would like to to talk about, is what the next article says, which is what many take as "The Holy Word" to assert that the rumor is a giant lie: http://www.tested.com/news/why-microsoft-wont-emulate-xbox-games-for-windows-8/2577/. In short, what the gentleman wants to explain us is that if running a GameCube game (console whose processor runs at 729MHz and has a 243Mhz GPU) in the Dolphin emulator requires a 3.2 GHz processor and a halfway decent graphics card, then running an Xbox 360 (console which has a dual core processor running at 3.2GHz and has a 500MHz GPU) on an emulator, will require a CPU whose speed exceeds about 4 times the fastest processor that exists up to this day. If we rush NOT to really understand and maturate what this man said, the first thing we will come to mind will be: "Sure, he has all the reason of the world". Therefore, I'm here to show you why this guy is wrong by a 50%.
His logic is very simple so it does not require too much of an explanation. Instead let's remember some things:
A)
First question: When the GameCube emulator was created? And when the GameCube was created?
Second question: What was the technology in PC's, when the Dolphin emulator was coming to light?
Third question: Who created the GameCube emulator and how long it took them to create it?
Those 3 questions will not be responded now, because later on you will decipher the reasons for yourself and will realize that placing an exact number as an answer for those questions would be stupid.
Let's see. Do you remember back in the 80's when the first microprocessor was created? Do you remember that it occupied an entire room, was as slow as a turtle, performing calculations as stupid as add, subtract, multiply and divide and needed air conditioning for cooling for not to rostice in its operation? Remember it? I am very sure that you guys do. When you were living that time, had some of you thought that someday the microprocessor would be what they are today? I have the audacity to say that even the best engineer in the world never thought it. And look where we're standing, in front of a monitor that connects us virtually to what 25 years ago would have been infinitely impossible to achieve, a Core i7 processor. All this was achieved in less than 25 years. It's really a record. Keep in mind, moreover, that what once took 25 years to think or create now takes half. So the speed at which technology is advancing is exponential. Each day that passes by, technology advances at the speed of sound (to show you how it all begun, let's..., hughh sorry I couldn't resist
![tongue.gif]( "tongue.gif")
).
Do you remember back in the 80's when the Super Nintendo was in its golden time? Remember how happy you guys were placed when using it, and the wonderful things you've said about it? Some day, any of those days where you guys were using it, have some of you thought that today games would come out as nice graphically as Crysis? Have you ever guys thought that 3D games were going to exist? I've said it once and I say it twice: Not even the best engineer of the world thought that. I remember myself when I used to play on the PS2 back in 2003 that for me that was the best of the best. There was nothing that could look (and was going to look) any better than those graphics. And now a modern PC game lol in the face of a PS2 game, graphically speaking. And as happened with the processor, every year new technology left out, so to speak, older technologies obsolete. And exponentially this process is repeated with greater frequency. If we compare what is a console and a modern PC, we can see that the difference in technology is abysmal. And that's all because of the difference in age between a PC from this year and the Xbox 360.
For the year in which the Dolphin was born, there was not even half of what exists today. And the group of programmers who created the emulator, limited themselves to the use of that technology (which today it can be considered calmly poor) to create an emulator for a console created with an even more precarious technology. By the time the Xbox 360 was created, the technology in PCs was already taking the first steps to where we are standing today; The first Quad Cores, for example, where being produced. Now, when the GameCube emulator came out, the technology was precarious indeed. We now may say: "In 2006 the technology was rubbish." But what we are forgetting is that it was back then when the technology ceased to be precarious, back in 2006. It happens that when you work with precarious things, it is very unlikely to achieve something efficiently. That's why the Dolphin required too many resources of a PC to emulate the GameCube, since nowadays the GameCube's technology is considered precarious. And the technology of that time PC's are also considered poor today.
Now, when the 360 came out, the technology stop being poor to be pretty decent (judging it from the perspective of today). And there are 6 years in between that year and the year that the Xbox 360 emulator is supposedly going to be released! 6 years, for what? For creating a damn emulator, which after all is a program. Doesn't seem logical that, with the rapid advancement in technology that existed between 2006 and 2012, this process is effected?
Now let's consider another thing: The group of people who created the GameCube's emulator, they don't even reach the heels to the programmers that make up "Microsoft" and that will be up to them to create the emulator (no offense intended to anyone with that). I'm not saying that the group of people who created Dolphin are fools, I have no doubt they are very smart people and very capable but I think they can not be compared with the programmers working for the guy who created the most popular operating system used today. And every day this company surprises us with new things. So with this in mind and with what the paragraphs above about the technology of today and yesterday says, we could say that it is quite likely to have an Xbox 360 emulator working on our PC's next year.
B)
On the other hand, if this system ends up being as the rumor says it will be an awesome business for Microsoft:
1. Microsoft has nothing to lose with this: The 360 carries in the market over 5 years and its lifetime is becoming shorter and shorter. Engineers are already developing the new console and there is no doubt that the priority for them now is to develop it. Moreover now that their last (most probably) update for the 360 has been released (Kinect), they do not have anything left to care about the Xbox 360.
2. All they can do to keep profiting is to make games unique to the 360 (which are not for the PC) to sell more. The best way to do this is by creating an official emulator to run on their new OS. Thus, not only in video games they will generate more sales but also they'll encourage many people to buy their new Windows 8. Also if they would create a platform as "Origin" or "Steam" they would save millions of dollars in the production of the disks.
3. Other gains that Microsoft could get benefited from is the monthly fee that PC gamers should pay each month to play their Xbox 360 games on their PCs online. If there is something where Microsoft has raised in money for, is because of its Live online system. Almost 80% of the Xbox 360 owners pay the monthly subscription to access the Live and multiplying that millionaire number to how much the subscription costs, then we would really see what is the Microsoft's monthly profit only by their online system.
4. We know Microsoft as well as the palms of our hands and we know that if there is something they want to do, is to profit and make money. And this is the perfect chance to make it the big way.
5. Microsoft at this point in time when the 360 is being pushed aside to focus more on the new console, won't care to loose sales on consoles if the video game sales raise up and the profits increase with more people paying for the monthly subscriptions to use Live. In fact this will benefit Microsoft because it would be the perfect reason why to stop producing Xbox 360 (or doing so on a lesser extent).
So this point demonstrates that logically and financially, Microsoft has nothing to lose but much to gain. It is a very safe bet: They won't waste a lot of money in trying.
So to conclude the article I'd say the chances of this rumor is true in a 50%. The reasons? Read again the paragraphs above.
Best Regards.
The first thing I would like to to talk about, is what the next article says, which is what many take as "The Holy Word" to assert that the rumor is a giant lie: http://www.tested.com/news/why-microsoft-wont-emulate-xbox-games-for-windows-8/2577/. In short, what the gentleman wants to explain us is that if running a GameCube game (console whose processor runs at 729MHz and has a 243Mhz GPU) in the Dolphin emulator requires a 3.2 GHz processor and a halfway decent graphics card, then running an Xbox 360 (console which has a dual core processor running at 3.2GHz and has a 500MHz GPU) on an emulator, will require a CPU whose speed exceeds about 4 times the fastest processor that exists up to this day. If we rush NOT to really understand and maturate what this man said, the first thing we will come to mind will be: "Sure, he has all the reason of the world". Therefore, I'm here to show you why this guy is wrong by a 50%.
His logic is very simple so it does not require too much of an explanation. Instead let's remember some things:
A)
First question: When the GameCube emulator was created? And when the GameCube was created?
Second question: What was the technology in PC's, when the Dolphin emulator was coming to light?
Third question: Who created the GameCube emulator and how long it took them to create it?
Those 3 questions will not be responded now, because later on you will decipher the reasons for yourself and will realize that placing an exact number as an answer for those questions would be stupid.
Let's see. Do you remember back in the 80's when the first microprocessor was created? Do you remember that it occupied an entire room, was as slow as a turtle, performing calculations as stupid as add, subtract, multiply and divide and needed air conditioning for cooling for not to rostice in its operation? Remember it? I am very sure that you guys do. When you were living that time, had some of you thought that someday the microprocessor would be what they are today? I have the audacity to say that even the best engineer in the world never thought it. And look where we're standing, in front of a monitor that connects us virtually to what 25 years ago would have been infinitely impossible to achieve, a Core i7 processor. All this was achieved in less than 25 years. It's really a record. Keep in mind, moreover, that what once took 25 years to think or create now takes half. So the speed at which technology is advancing is exponential. Each day that passes by, technology advances at the speed of sound (to show you how it all begun, let's..., hughh sorry I couldn't resist
Do you remember back in the 80's when the Super Nintendo was in its golden time? Remember how happy you guys were placed when using it, and the wonderful things you've said about it? Some day, any of those days where you guys were using it, have some of you thought that today games would come out as nice graphically as Crysis? Have you ever guys thought that 3D games were going to exist? I've said it once and I say it twice: Not even the best engineer of the world thought that. I remember myself when I used to play on the PS2 back in 2003 that for me that was the best of the best. There was nothing that could look (and was going to look) any better than those graphics. And now a modern PC game lol in the face of a PS2 game, graphically speaking. And as happened with the processor, every year new technology left out, so to speak, older technologies obsolete. And exponentially this process is repeated with greater frequency. If we compare what is a console and a modern PC, we can see that the difference in technology is abysmal. And that's all because of the difference in age between a PC from this year and the Xbox 360.
For the year in which the Dolphin was born, there was not even half of what exists today. And the group of programmers who created the emulator, limited themselves to the use of that technology (which today it can be considered calmly poor) to create an emulator for a console created with an even more precarious technology. By the time the Xbox 360 was created, the technology in PCs was already taking the first steps to where we are standing today; The first Quad Cores, for example, where being produced. Now, when the GameCube emulator came out, the technology was precarious indeed. We now may say: "In 2006 the technology was rubbish." But what we are forgetting is that it was back then when the technology ceased to be precarious, back in 2006. It happens that when you work with precarious things, it is very unlikely to achieve something efficiently. That's why the Dolphin required too many resources of a PC to emulate the GameCube, since nowadays the GameCube's technology is considered precarious. And the technology of that time PC's are also considered poor today.
Now, when the 360 came out, the technology stop being poor to be pretty decent (judging it from the perspective of today). And there are 6 years in between that year and the year that the Xbox 360 emulator is supposedly going to be released! 6 years, for what? For creating a damn emulator, which after all is a program. Doesn't seem logical that, with the rapid advancement in technology that existed between 2006 and 2012, this process is effected?
Now let's consider another thing: The group of people who created the GameCube's emulator, they don't even reach the heels to the programmers that make up "Microsoft" and that will be up to them to create the emulator (no offense intended to anyone with that). I'm not saying that the group of people who created Dolphin are fools, I have no doubt they are very smart people and very capable but I think they can not be compared with the programmers working for the guy who created the most popular operating system used today. And every day this company surprises us with new things. So with this in mind and with what the paragraphs above about the technology of today and yesterday says, we could say that it is quite likely to have an Xbox 360 emulator working on our PC's next year.
B)
On the other hand, if this system ends up being as the rumor says it will be an awesome business for Microsoft:
1. Microsoft has nothing to lose with this: The 360 carries in the market over 5 years and its lifetime is becoming shorter and shorter. Engineers are already developing the new console and there is no doubt that the priority for them now is to develop it. Moreover now that their last (most probably) update for the 360 has been released (Kinect), they do not have anything left to care about the Xbox 360.
2. All they can do to keep profiting is to make games unique to the 360 (which are not for the PC) to sell more. The best way to do this is by creating an official emulator to run on their new OS. Thus, not only in video games they will generate more sales but also they'll encourage many people to buy their new Windows 8. Also if they would create a platform as "Origin" or "Steam" they would save millions of dollars in the production of the disks.
3. Other gains that Microsoft could get benefited from is the monthly fee that PC gamers should pay each month to play their Xbox 360 games on their PCs online. If there is something where Microsoft has raised in money for, is because of its Live online system. Almost 80% of the Xbox 360 owners pay the monthly subscription to access the Live and multiplying that millionaire number to how much the subscription costs, then we would really see what is the Microsoft's monthly profit only by their online system.
4. We know Microsoft as well as the palms of our hands and we know that if there is something they want to do, is to profit and make money. And this is the perfect chance to make it the big way.
5. Microsoft at this point in time when the 360 is being pushed aside to focus more on the new console, won't care to loose sales on consoles if the video game sales raise up and the profits increase with more people paying for the monthly subscriptions to use Live. In fact this will benefit Microsoft because it would be the perfect reason why to stop producing Xbox 360 (or doing so on a lesser extent).
So this point demonstrates that logically and financially, Microsoft has nothing to lose but much to gain. It is a very safe bet: They won't waste a lot of money in trying.
So to conclude the article I'd say the chances of this rumor is true in a 50%. The reasons? Read again the paragraphs above.
Best Regards.
